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020 _a9783030631536
_9978-3-030-63153-6
024 7 _a10.1007/978-3-030-63153-6
_2doi
050 4 _aQ334-342
050 4 _aTA347.A78
072 7 _aUYQ
_2bicssc
072 7 _aCOM004000
_2bisacsh
072 7 _aUYQ
_2thema
082 0 4 _a006.3
_223
100 1 _aCuzzolin, Fabio.
_eauthor.
_0(orcid)
_10000-0002-9271-2130
_4aut
_4http://id.loc.gov/vocabulary/relators/aut
245 1 4 _aThe Geometry of Uncertainty
_h[electronic resource] :
_bThe Geometry of Imprecise Probabilities /
_cby Fabio Cuzzolin.
250 _a1st ed. 2021.
264 1 _aCham :
_bSpringer International Publishing :
_bImprint: Springer,
_c2021.
300 _aXXV, 850 p. 140 illus., 100 illus. in color.
_bonline resource.
336 _atext
_btxt
_2rdacontent
337 _acomputer
_bc
_2rdamedia
338 _aonline resource
_bcr
_2rdacarrier
347 _atext file
_bPDF
_2rda
490 1 _aArtificial Intelligence: Foundations, Theory, and Algorithms,
_x2365-306X
505 0 _aIntroduction -- Part I: Theories of Uncertainty -- Belief Functions -- Understanding Belief Functions -- Reasoning with Belief Functions -- A Toolbox for the Working Scientist -- The Bigger Picture -- Part II: The Geometry of Uncertainty -- The Geometry of Belief Functions -- Geometry of Dempster's Rule -- Three Equivalent Models -- The Geometry of Possibility -- Part III: Geometry Interplays -- Probability Transforms: The Affine Family -- Probability Transforms: The Epistemic Family -- Consonant Approximation -- Consistent Approximation -- Part IV: Geometric Reasoning -- Geometric Conditioning -- Decision Making with Epistemic Transforms -- Part V The Future of Uncertainty -- An Agenda for the Future -- References.
520 _aThe principal aim of this book is to introduce to the widest possible audience an original view of belief calculus and uncertainty theory. In this geometric approach to uncertainty, uncertainty measures can be seen as points of a suitably complex geometric space, and manipulated in that space, for example, combined or conditioned. In the chapters in Part I, Theories of Uncertainty, the author offers an extensive recapitulation of the state of the art in the mathematics of uncertainty. This part of the book contains the most comprehensive summary to date of the whole of belief theory, with Chap. 4 outlining for the first time, and in a logical order, all the steps of the reasoning chain associated with modelling uncertainty using belief functions, in an attempt to provide a self-contained manual for the working scientist. In addition, the book proposes in Chap. 5 what is possibly the most detailed compendium available of all theories of uncertainty. Part II, TheGeometry of Uncertainty, is the core of this book, as it introduces the author’s own geometric approach to uncertainty theory, starting with the geometry of belief functions: Chap. 7 studies the geometry of the space of belief functions, or belief space, both in terms of a simplex and in terms of its recursive bundle structure; Chap. 8 extends the analysis to Dempster’s rule of combination, introducing the notion of a conditional subspace and outlining a simple geometric construction for Dempster’s sum; Chap. 9 delves into the combinatorial properties of plausibility and commonality functions, as equivalent representations of the evidence carried by a belief function; then Chap. 10 starts extending the applicability of the geometric approach to other uncertainty measures, focusing in particular on possibility measures (consonant belief functions) and the related notion of a consistent belief function. The chapters in Part III, Geometric Interplays, are concerned with the interplay ofuncertainty measures of different kinds, and the geometry of their relationship, with a particular focus on the approximation problem. Part IV, Geometric Reasoning, examines the application of the geometric approach to the various elements of the reasoning chain illustrated in Chap. 4, in particular conditioning and decision making. Part V concludes the book by outlining a future, complete statistical theory of random sets, future extensions of the geometric approach, and identifying high-impact applications to climate change, machine learning and artificial intelligence. The book is suitable for researchers in artificial intelligence, statistics, and applied science engaged with theories of uncertainty. The book is supported with the most comprehensive bibliography on belief and uncertainty theory.
650 0 _aArtificial intelligence.
650 0 _aStatistics .
650 0 _aProbabilities.
650 1 4 _aArtificial Intelligence.
650 2 4 _aStatistical Theory and Methods.
650 2 4 _aProbability Theory.
710 2 _aSpringerLink (Online service)
773 0 _tSpringer Nature eBook
776 0 8 _iPrinted edition:
_z9783030631529
776 0 8 _iPrinted edition:
_z9783030631543
776 0 8 _iPrinted edition:
_z9783030631550
830 0 _aArtificial Intelligence: Foundations, Theory, and Algorithms,
_x2365-306X
856 4 0 _uhttps://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-63153-6
912 _aZDB-2-SCS
912 _aZDB-2-SXCS
942 _cSPRINGER
999 _c177021
_d177021